Publications
Economic analysis and policy recommendations based on rigorous academic underpinnings
Recent publications
Three risks that must be addressed for new European Union fiscal rules to succeed
The reform, completed in April 2024, left implementation unaddressed, or at least open to very different potential outcomes
Rippling out: Biden’s tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and their impact on Europe
The US approach diverges from that of the EU, which is building a case for countervailing duties under WTO rules
Unpacking China’s industrial policy and its implications for Europe
This paper assess how beneficial industrial policy has been for China and how exportable to the European Union its model might be
How to de-risk: European economic security in a world of interdependence
The question is how exactly the EU should ‘de-risk’ its external economic relationships without foregoing the benefits of trade.
Using the financial system to enforce export controls
Russian imports of battlefield goods that are subject to export controls, including from Western producers, have surged since mid-2022
Publication list
Analysis
04 May 2023
Fiscal rule legislative proposal: what has changed, what has not, what is unclear?
The proposed new fiscal rules constitute a major improvement from the current fiscal framework but missed an opportunity to foster green investment.
Analysis
03 May 2023
What really influences United Nations voting on Ukraine?
Speculation has been triggered about new alliances emerging in the Global South, inspired by China and India's voting behaviour.
Analysis
03 May 2023
Europe’s digital competition law can give users more effective control of their data
The European Union’s Digital Markets Act gives regulatory authorities another chance to tackle the difficult issue of user consent for data processing
Analysis
02 May 2023
Sanctions against Russia will worsen its already poor economic prospects
Sanctions, coming on top of longstanding domestic shortcomings, are gradually weakening Russia.
Policy brief
27 April 2023
The longer-term fiscal challenges facing the European Union
Since 2020, the European Union has suffered two large shocks, which have created new fiscal challenges for the EU.
Working paper
25 April 2023
Global trends in countries' perceptions of the Belt and Road Initiative
In this paper, we have analysed the sentiment towards the Belt and Road Initiative in the world using a large open-access dataset, namely GDELT.
Analysis
18 April 2023
Fixing Germany’s fixes of the European Commission’s fiscal governance proposal
Germany has valid concerns about Commission’s plan for reforming the fiscal rules. But there are better ways to address them.
Analysis
12 April 2023
Mobilising transition finance will require credible corporate climate plans
Many jurisdictions now require companies to demonstrate ‘climate alignment’; investors need tools to evaluate whether transition plans are credible
Analysis
06 April 2023
China’s 2023 work report and what it means: an AI post-mortem
China is taking a more nuanced approach to the overarching goal of GDP growth.
Analysis
06 April 2023
The EU Recovery and Resilience Facility falls short against performance-based funding standards
The rules and guidance underpinning EU economic recovery funds seek inputs and outputs, not results; this has led to uneven use of results indicators
Analysis
05 April 2023
Why Europe’s critical raw materials strategy has to be international
In ensuring supplies of critical raw materials, the European Union cannot rely on domestic measures alone.
Policy brief
05 April 2023
Decentralised finance: good technology, bad finance
Given the importance of digitalisation, it is fair to ask whether these digital decentralised services will become established and normalised.
Policy brief
28 March 2023
Will China’s new financial regulatory reform be enough to meet the challenges?
This paper aims to inform the discussion in relation to China with accounts of experiences in large and complex financial sectors.
Analysis
23 March 2023
The ripple effect of financial education
A financial literacy course for university students in Cyprus also improved the financial knowledge of their parents.
Policy brief
23 March 2023
The potential of sovereign sustainability-linked bonds in the drive for net-zero
Sovereign SLBs could help incentivise climate policies in EU countries, and accelerate emission reductions.
Analysis
23 March 2023
How much will the EU pay Russia for fossil fuels over the next 12 months?
With sanctions incomplete, the European Union could pay Russia about €30 billion for fossil fuels in the next year.
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